Published May 25, 2023, 11:20 p.m. by Naomi Charles
There are a lot of things to consider when it comes to investments and economic recessions. Some people believe that investing in a recession is a bad idea, while others believe that it can be a great opportunity to make some money.
So, what is the truth? Is investing in a recession a good idea or a bad idea?
There are a few things that you need to consider before making a decision. The first thing is your goals. What are you trying to achieve by investing? Are you trying to make a quick profit, or are you trying to build long-term wealth?
If you're looking to make a quick profit, then investing in a recession may not be the best idea. However, if you're looking to build long-term wealth, then investing in a recession can be a great opportunity.
The second thing you need to consider is your risk tolerance. How much risk are you willing to take? If you're not willing to take any risk, then investing in a recession may not be the best idea. However, if you're willing to take on some risk, then investing in a recession can be a great opportunity.
The third thing you need to consider is your time horizon. How long do you plan on holding your investments? If you're looking to hold your investments for the long term, then investing in a recession can be a great opportunity. However, if you're looking to make a quick profit, then investing in a recession may not be the best idea.
investing in a recession can be a great opportunity to build long-term wealth, but it's not for everyone. If you're not willing to take on some risk, or if you're looking to make a quick profit, then investing in a recession may not be the best idea.
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um we had a show about the recession
earlier this week it was on on Tuesday
not that we know exactly when it's
coming but but most experts agree a
recession might hit early next year so
we had sat down with a financial
counselor Jessica Morehouse and spent
most of the program going through how to
financially prepare for a recession now
if you missed it
you should just go back and watch it
right now but if you did watch it let us
refresh your memory with some of what
you had to say
it's just about being intentional with
where your money is going if it's it's
you know hindering you from reaching
your goals where else can we look in
your budget to cut back so you can reach
that goal
you need to have a plan and no one likes
the term budget so you can give it
whatever name you want so you need to
track where the money is going to be
able to identify the problem areas
you gotta attack a head-on and you've
got to take a look at everything that's
you know what are all the different
debts categorize and be like okay what
are the interest rates what are the
balances
um and then figure out what's the best
strategy for me
even before paying off debt aggressively
have an emergency fund so the best thing
you could do is to have some cash in the
bank for when something happens because
it always will
so that was just a sliver of our
conversation but at the very end she
said something that I I wasn't quite
expecting about making bigger moves with
your money and mixing it up on the stock
market yes there is risk but it's not
just a it's all risky it's like well it
depends on what where your money's going
and what kind of risk are you taking
there's risk inherent in every form of
investing in the stock market the bond
market but
um you can be calculated about it and
there's lots of ways to mitigate that
risk this can be a great time to
actually get investing
yeah investing in in this economy like
come on right but maybe it makes sense
and and it's certainly worth a follow-up
question or two
or three or four enough that we couldn't
fit them into the last episode so today
part two of my conversation with Jessica
and why investing right smack in the
middle of what feels like the worst time
not to have access to your money may
actually be the best time
entering such uncertain times where
inflation's sort of out of control and
people are struggling to make ends meet
and you're saying that those very same
like rsps that I've got a little bit of
money tucked away into that are tanking
right now and I'm watching them tank in
real time yeah that now is the time to
put more money in you're like why would
I put money into a loser doesn't make
any sense yeah okay the stock market the
bond market goes up and down I think the
biggest thing that I can share with
people is don't Focus so much on a short
time frame you need to zoom out and take
a look at what's happened the past
several decades let's talk about that
because it's a critical point about the
stock market if we take the S P 500
which tracks 500 large companies in the
United States and if we only look at the
last year well it looks pretty
disastrous right down 25 but let's look
at the five year and all of a sudden
okay we've seen crashes before for and
end to end we're not down anymore now
let's look at the tenure
okay we're starting to get a sense of
perspective right and the 20-year
it's even clearer that these huge
crashes happen but if you give it enough
time markets bounce back happens every
time okay back to Jessica you need to
actually invest when things are bad
that's how you take those opportunities
but you've got to be strategic you got
to be you understand what you're
investing in I'm not saying just buy
this individual stock because it's down
it may not be a good investment but you
need to be really methodical and you got
to be patient but it's hard to think
that forward it's so hard especially
when you're younger like I can't think
past next year but how you build wealth
is staying invested consistently being
boring and simple about it for decades
okay so here's the other thing about
investing that I I liken it to
it's like you you walk into a casino for
the first time ever and you don't know
how any of the games work yep and my
first question is what game do I play
what do I invest in so I know a lot of
young people especially got so many
messages in 2020 and 2021 about
picking some hot stocks like Tesla was
all the rage cryptocurrency nfts and I'm
like oh my gosh if you're just starting
out that is not where you start because
those are very risky and you should
really know what you're doing and you
can lose some money one you know key
principle of smart investing is making
sure you don't put all of your eggs in
one basket and so that's why investing
in a fund where you're investing in
hundreds if not thousands of companies
you're spreading your money around and
lots of different baskets that's a great
way to start investing because when you
say fund like what do you mean it's like
a basket of Securities a security by the
way is just a financial asset that you
can trade on the open market like a
stock or a bond we'll get into that in
just a little bit but there's lots of
different ones there's mutual funds
there's also exchange traded funds
secretary gated funds closed ones
there's lots of different funds okay me
again if your brain just exploded that's
okay uh let's get you cleaned up and
then let's explain what we're talking
about here so a fund uh like Jessica
said it's just a bunch of stuff it could
be a bunch of stocks a bunch of bonds or
maybe even a mixture of the two a mutual
fund is a bunch of stuff that you buy
into with other people so you all pool
your money a professional money manager
then takes all of that money charges you
a fee and then picks a mix of Securities
that you all invest in together
an exchange traded fund that's another
big one that you mentioned so an
exchange traded fund an ETF is just
something that you can buy and sell it's
a fund that you buy and sell yourself so
on an exchange on a market so it's like
buying stock except you're buying a
bundle of them and often these are
heavily Diversified sometimes with
hundreds or even thousands of products
inside what's more both mutual funds and
ETFs can be what are called index funds
so you've heard about how sometimes like
a person's salary can be indexed to
inflation which just means that the
salary Rises along with inflation
well you can buy index funds which are
Bunches of stocks and bonds that are
indexed to a particular market so for
example one of the oldest exchange
traded funds ETFs out there is called
the spider it's an index fund that
tracks the s p 500. so all it's trying
to do is to match the ups and downs of
the market as a whole and these are
generally considered pretty solid pretty
boring but pretty productive places to
put your money because over a long
enough period of time markets as a whole
tend to go in Just One Direction
and in theory I guess if the index fund
is tracking the general trajectory of
whatever fund it's indexed to or
whatever thing it's indexed to
what you said earlier is really
important here that the markets always
go up exactly so so you're just
I think of index investing besides also
typically their
easy to invest in they have much lower
fees which is more money in your pocket
lots of those active managed funds or
even those strategies where you're
buying and selling your own Securities
very high fees this is very easy low fee
and yes when the market goes down your
fund is going to go down when it goes
back up your fund is going to go up is
this where what you were saying earlier
like boring is good yeah
this is where this can be a great way to
invest but a lot of people when they
think of investing like you gave the
analogy of the casino they think of it
as a casino they think of it as a game
they think they need to find all these
opportunities and it can be exciting and
it yeah but I I don't like investing as
if it's gambling I want to invest so I
can make sure I have enough money to
reach my goals to retire one day to
maybe have a cottage one day I don't
know but I want to make sure I'm going
to hit those things and I'm you know
going to possibly sacrifice over and
above return so maybe an active strategy
can get because I want something
consistent and steady and I know how it
works I know what I need to do as an
investor which is continue to invest for
the long term Not freak out not cash out
when the Market's down just keep going
how do you do all this by the way like
like we're like so I decide okay index
funds sound great yeah find something
with with low fees like right as you
were mentioning yeah
where do I go like where do I buy that
yeah so there's there's kind of three
routes you can go for investing in
general you can uh work with a
professional who manages your portfolio
and you can do that with indexing there
are managers that do that you can use a
robo advisor uh so you know there's lots
of ones in Canada now I think maybe nine
or ten or something like that they have
these pre-built portfolios of index
exchange traded funds so there you have
this portfolio is built you do an online
questionnaire so they can determine all
these factors what's the best portfolio
for you then you start investing and
it's very easy set up online you can do
auto contributions or what have you and
they manage it for you or you can do
what's called self-directed investing or
sometimes it's called do-it-yourself DIY
investing you open up a discount
brokerage account and then you can do
whatever you want you can buy individual
stocks buy individual bonds you can buy
fund you could do whatever the heck and
so in all of these cases you can either
go through like your bank for example or
like I mean you see those ads for like
Quest trade and wealth so question is an
example of a discount brokerage right so
why that could be good if you're like
yeah I want to do it on my own great
easy to set up you do it on your own
they don't provide any advice you're
your own investment professional you're
you're the driver of that car
um but if you do want someone to to
manage it to give you advice that's
where you'd want to hire a professional
and then you can also hire a fee only or
advice only financial planner who can
give you that advice but they're not
managing your Investments and I kind of
like that kind of mixture because
they're a little less biased because
they're not selling you something
besides their advice right speaking of
advice this advice that you're giving
must change depending on the person and
and what they're actually trying to
accomplish because everyone's different
everyone's circumstances is different
and when it comes to personal finance
there's no such thing as like one size
fits all so if you have a low risk
tolerance you don't want to take on too
much risk you don't like seeing too much
volatility then you're going to want to
have a bigger portion of fixed income in
your Fuller than equities okay fixed
income Investments versus equities what
is she talking about now well when we
talk about investing equities are just
stocks so shares in a company which rise
and fall depending on how well the
company does and there's risk because if
the company tanks so do your stocks but
when we talk about fixed income
Investments we're trying to eliminate
Risk by investing in things that give a
predetermined steady rate of return so
bonds which are just basically loans are
an example of that if you buy a
Government Bond you're loaning the money
and when payment is due they give it
back plus interest the downside is that
you're not going to get rich off bonds
you sacrifice profits for stability and
so Bonds in general kind of cushion the
volatility so if you have like a 100
stock portfolio it is going to be up and
down if you have 70 stocks and 30
percent you know bonds is going to be
not as bad it's gonna but but you're
also potentially sacrificing higher
returns so in general if you don't have
as long of a timeline you may not want
to take on as much risk because you're
like well I need this money to live off
of so I don't want to be 65 with an
all-equity portfolio and
well we're in a down market and we have
to withdraw money now well my portfolio
is down 30 so like the timing is wrong
so you always want to adjust kind of the
riskiness and that balance of stocks and
bonds to portfolio depending on what
your timeline is and so when you were
talking about a young person even though
it may sound kind of crazy you could
actually be in a 100 stock portfolio and
the reason is you have decades to ride
out those ups and downs so with bonds
less potential to make a lot of money
yeah but safer a little bit safer they
do provide you know yeah a cushion for
volatility they provide income through
interest but yeah you're not going to
earn like if you're in 100 Bond
portfolio you may not be able to
actually retire off that because it's
it's too uh conservative and you're not
going to earn as much as you need you
want something to not just beat
inflation but to earn over and above so
you can reach your goals in the future
so when I started by asking you what
should I invest in that was the wrong
question that's what you're telling me
maybe but that's what everyone asks so I
don't mind
it is a roller coaster though it sure is
like emotionally right like which is why
one of my best tips is to especially if
you're investing long term don't look at
your Investments that often like you
don't need to they're doing their thing
it's not going to help anybody if you
take a look every second on your app
you're just gonna feel anxious and so
especially during this volatile time
like for me I invest I think money
monthly and then I do a little
assessment my little net worth uh sheet
type in what I've got in there and then
I don't look because it just makes me
anxious there's one saying where like
investing is like a bar of soap the more
you touch it the smaller it gets because
people feel like they need to do
something they need to touch it and do
you so maybe if I just move this over
here and sell this and buy this it's
like then now you're you're not doing
the plan that you set out you're making
it up so the best thing you can do is
create that plan implement it stick with
it don't touch it
Jessica can I put you on like speed dial
just like I have another question yeah
it's fine you can text me whenever you
have a question thank you so much thanks
so hey I hope you found that helpful and
you know I'm sure we'll have Jessica
back on the program to talk about all
kinds of uh Financial topics and and let
us know if there are sort of big scary
things that you want us to dive into and
maybe make a little bit more
approachable we're always happy to hear
from you
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