Published June 30, 2023, 1:20 a.m. by Violet Harris
Russian President Vladimir Putin has made a TV address following a short-lived rebellion from the Wagner mercenary group.
He said steps were taken to avoid major bloodshed during the rebellion, but it took time.
The Russian leader accused the organisers of the mutiny of wanting Russian society to "drown in blood".
Wagner fighters can sign a contract with the Russian military, return to their families, or move to Belarus, President Putin said.
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so let's take a listen to Vladimir Putin
now yeah
I'm addressing Russian citizens
I'm thanking you for your perseverance
for your Unity
[Music]
any attempts to cause domestic Discord
are doomed to failure I'll say this
again
highest levels of social consolidation
has been shown of the executive and
legislative at all levels
a hard an unequivocal position of
support towards the Constitutional order
was taken by
public organizations religious con
religious confessions leading political
parties essentially all of Russia's
Society everyone has been United and
turned into one but the main thing the
responsibility for the fate of our
Fatherland Jesus again from the very
beginning all steps were taken to ensure
the neutralization of the threat to
defend the Constitutional order their
lives and security of our citizens our
Mutiny would have been suppressed in any
case
organizers of the Mutiny even though
they became deranged they could not but
understand this they understood
everything including the fact that they
were commencing a crime aimed at
devising our society and making our
country weaker our country which is now
facing a colossal threat from abroad
unprecedented unprecedented pressure
uh at the front line people are shouting
we mustn't retrieve
they tried to make them shoot at their
own people and this is what
um what the enemies of Russia wanted to
achieve brother killing brother both
neonatas in Kiev they're Western Masters
and various National traitors they
wanted Russia soldiers to kill each
other they wanted servicemen to die
peaceful residents to die they wanted
Russia to lose they wanted our society
to split and drown in a bloody interior
internal strife they rubbed their hands
they dreamed of uh
on the front line during the so-called
counter-offensive but they were wrong I
thank our services I thank her security
agencies special services secret
services
who
saved Russia from The Tragically
destructive consequences
so really really interesting words of
Italy thank you very much for that
translation just a thought as we were
listening to that you've spent an awful
lot of time watching various different
statements uh by Vladimir Putin on state
media there in Russia how do you think
uh This One Compares what do you think
other kind of circumstances where he'll
have clearly he's never had to address
something this serious and Russian
troops filing up uh towards uh Moscow
well what did you make of that you know
those the the last time Putin had to
make
an address like this was back at the
very beginning of his rule in the early
2000s when
um
the Kremlin was trying to suppress a
rebellion in chechnya
since that time most of his speeches
were given at a time of Vladimir Putin's
choosing and as we understand he's very
reluctant to be pressured into doing
something but this speech and the one he
made on Saturday morning
are different he made them because he
really had to and that's really
different from the way that he is used
to operating
and particularly on Saturday when he was
facing this apparent Rebellion by Wagner
he he he uh was running a really high
risk of uh looking weak and today by
failing to address
uh criticisms that he he has failed to
punish the mutineers who were committing
this horrible crime of of rebellion who
betrayed Russia as he said on Saturday
a lot of people are saying that he's
showing weakness and that uh Vladimir
Putin will have to work really hard to
restore his
credibility and Authority among the
movers and shakers in Russia absolutely
fascinating Vitale thank you very much
for that she'll be back with you uh
later on now that I want to go to Colin
P Clarke director of research at the
soup farm group of global intelligence
and security consultancy thanks very
much for coming on the program
thanks for having me so an extraordinary
statement that Vladimir Putin just had
to make what do you well what do you
think about it
yeah I mean I agree with uh the the last
presenter which is that it shows that
Putin is weak I think more than the
weakness it's revealed and that's
important for a number of reasons but
primarily because food you know
surrounds this whole image as one of
strength and calm confidence in machismo
that shattered and tarnished uh but I
think you know just as importantly it
shows that there's really
no strategy for what comes from one to
July they were unprepared for what
happened with pregosian I don't think
they thought he would take it nearly as
far as he did and moreover Moscow is
reliant on the Wagner group to operate
its foreign policy in many parts of the
world so without Wagner they're at a
major loss in terms of projecting
influence so yeah what do you think
happens to the Wagner group now the
suggestion that we heard a little
earlier on that there's this deadline
looming for them to be absorbed within
to the uh the regular army what do you
think happens next
well I mean if the Russians go that
route it can you know considerably
changes what their Force posture and
their military structure looks like
around the world if all of a sudden
Wagner forces are reflagged as Russian
military well now they've got an
official formal presence in places like
Mali Sudan Venezuela Central African
Republic and elsewhere moreover it's a
bit more complicated than that because
if you think about some of the crimes
that Wagner forces have been alleged to
commit including war crimes and crimes
against humanity now that comes with the
Russian military uniform on top of it
and and that makes the you know the
Kremlin I think even more of a pariah
than it already is on the global stage
so there's real ramifications and
consequences here that Putin hasn't
really thought out and I think the world
is kind of coming to terms with those
second and third order effects you know
in real time I'm going to ask a slightly
odd and fair question now because we can
only ever know uh the answer to this uh
years from now but does this feel to you
like a significant moment in the
leadership of Vladimir Putin
I think without question this shows that
Putin is uh you know maybe not uh fit to
lead the Russian State and to kind of
this next generation and I think you
know in the west many people have
speculated that and and suggested that
for years uh and kovic certainly seemed
to have done a number on him uh at least
his kind of psychological State and you
see him sitting at these long tables and
going on these long diatribes about kind
of obscure parts of Russian history but
now I think internally even within his
inner circle there's question is this
who we want to be the public face of our
country you know and there could be some
kind of ensuing power struggle over the
coming weeks and months and you know
that's really bad news for the world
because an unstable Russia with that
many nuclear weapons uh you know
that's not good for Global Security
Colin P Clark great to have your
thoughts thank you very much for coming
on the program
thanks for having me right let's bring
in our panel now to people very well
placed uh to comment on this given both
your uh background great to see you
Miles Taylor Lord Kim Derek miles let's
start with you the U.S perspective where
do you think these statements uh by
Vladimir Putin leave him right now
well I I would agree with Colin in the
previous segment that this all leaves
Putin in a much weakened State and the
immediate conclusion you can draw from
that is it's bad for everyone else uh
now there was a lot of I don't know how
else to put it but a lot of excitement
on social media and in The Wider press
while the Wagner group was marching
towards Moscow but the way this has
ended is probably going to be bad for
Ukraine and the immediate and bad for
the West in the long run bad for Ukraine
because a weekend Putin is really going
to want to show that he's stronger and I
imagine we'll ramp up actions there and
it's bad for the West because Putin's
already starting to seed The Narrative
that there's been Western meddling and
he's going to want to show that he's
strong so that instability that
uncertainty and a very paranoid chief
executive in the Kremlin is exactly what
we don't want and I think the White
House is feeling the same way right now
interesting Kim Derrick your thoughts
yeah I quite agree with that I think
that um but what Putin did in his speech
tonight was to try to recapture some of
the ground he lost with the events of
the last 48 hours I mean a proper strong
man
um crushes rebellions he doesn't do
deals with the people who are rebelling
it let them go up into Exile in a
neighboring country so this won't be a
look that Putin likes at all let alone
the story of the the rebel troops
getting within a couple of hundred miles
of Moscow
um so we're seeing a backlash now in
terms of his rhetoric I think it's right
that it's quite likely he'll find ways
to start blaming the West for it I do
think that he is he is permanently
damaged by this and you know it's
massively speculative to say this is
this is the beginning of a change in in
Russia but I think it's not impossible
but the risk is that you actually end up
with someone who is if this is possible
even worse than Putin even more
extremist than him so it does look like
uh what's already a very unstable
volatile situation where escalation
would be extremely dangerous it can make
things worse interesting miles just want
to come back just to build on that point
you talked about how dangerous this is
right now because Vladimir Putin will in
in your opinion want to retaliate and
demonstrate some uh strength do you
think that this could be the beginning
of the end for him
miles I think you have frozen kim do you
want to just pick up uh with that Lord
Kim Derek do you think this really is
the beginning of the end or it's just
too early to tell this is just too early
to tell but what it told us uh is that
there are some quite profound cracks
beneath the surface I mean the fact that
for example as an earlier earlier
correspondent said that actually the the
the the
um the Wagner troops in rostov seem to
be welcomed by the local population
there wasn't much opposition to them as
they marched on Moscow
um so it suggests that Russian public
opinion maybe isn't as quite behind
Putin as he claimed in that speech that
he that he's just given there's not much
sign of you know rostov of all the
social solidarity he was talking about
so that's a worrying sign for him and um
you know this is uh as others have said
probably the most difficult moment he's
had for a couple of decades and you know
these these revolutions can very very
gradually and then suddenly so I'm not
predicting that he's that he's gone but
this could be the start of something so
interesting Kim and Miles thanks both
for that
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